Dreamflows Daily Report for Mon, Mar 15, 2010
California and Nevada
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This flow information reflects conditions only at the time measurements were taken.  Flows marked "est" or "rough" are estimates based on other flow values, and may therefore be wildly inaccurate (see Estimate Information).  In addition, release changes, rainfall or snowmelt can cause dramatic changes to all flows.  Therefore, actual flows may differ significantly from the ones listed here.

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Section Index

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California North Coast
California Central/South Coast
California Sacramento Valley
California Sierra - West Slope - Northern
California Sierra - West Slope - Southern
California Sierra - East Slope
Nevada Rivers
Other Dreamflows Reports
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Estimate Information
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Dreamflows created and maintained as a free service by Chris Shackleton, Sacramento, CA, U.S.A.

California North Coast  MON SUN SAT 
Time 03/15/10 03/14/10 03/13/10 BBS Comments
No. Smith  At Gasquet (est)   noon 1,600  1,850  2,400   Mar 16 87% confidence actual flow is between 1300 and 1950 cfs + Falling 11 cfs/hr
Mi. Smith  At Gasquet (est)   noon 950  1,100  1,400   Mar 16 81% confidence actual flow is between 800 and 1100 cfs + Falling 6 cfs/hr
Smith  Steel Pipe At Gasquet   8am 10.00ft  10.40ft  11.30ft   Mar 16 Water 41°F
Smith  At Oregon Hole Gorge (est)   noon 2,800  3,200  4,200   Mar 16 90% confidence actual flow is between 2200 and 3300 cfs + Falling 12 cfs/hr
So. Smith  Near Hiouchi (est)   noon 2,450  2,900  3,700   2009 89% confidence actual flow is between 2100 and 2800 cfs + Falling 10 cfs/hr
Smith  At Jedediah Smith   noon 5,250  6,000  8,000   2009 Falling 22 cfs/hr
Klamath  J.C. Boyle Schedule   n/a        Flow currently unavailable
Klamath  Below J.C. Boyle Plant   noon 1,950  1,950  1,950    
Klamath  Below Iron Gate Dam   noon 1,450  1,450  1,450   2009  
Shasta  Near Yreka   noon 165  165  165    
Klamath  Below Seiad Valley   noon 2,400  2,450  2,500   2009 Falling 4 cfs/hr
Kidder Creek  Below Babs Fork (est)   noon Low  Low  Low    
Scott  Near Fort Jones   noon 380  400  440   Feb 9  
Indian Creek  Near Happy Camp (Klamath)   noon 525  525  575    
Klamath  At Orleans   noon 7,000  7,250  7,500   2009  
Klamath  At Klamath Glen   noon 18,000  19,500  21,500   Water 46°F
No. Salmon  Near Forks of Salmon (est)   noon 430  410  430   Dec 30 90% confidence actual flow is between 350 and 525 cfs
So. Salmon  At Forks of Salmon (est)   noon 575  550  550   2009 90% confidence actual flow is between 450 and 675 cfs
Salmon  At Somes Bar   noon 1,600  1,550  1,600   Mar 9  
Coffee Creek  Above Trinity River   n/a        2009 No estimate for this time of year
Trinity  Above Coffee Creek   noon 340  330  360   2008  
Trinity  Inflow Clair Engle Lake   avg   310  370    
Trinity  Below Lewiston Dam   noon 300  310  280   2009 Schedule + Water 48°F
Trinity  At Douglas City   noon 675  700  725   2009 Water 45°F
Indian Creek  Near Douglas City   noon 61  67  69    
No. Trinity  At Helena   11am 430  430  440   2008  
Trinity  At Pigeon Point   noon 1,500  1,600  1,650   Jan 24  
Trinity  At Cedar Flat   11am 2,000  2,100  2,250   Dec 6  
New River  At Denny   n/a        2008 No estimate for this time of year
New River  New River Gorge   n/a        2008 Recent trends + Flow currently unavailable
Hayfork Creek  At Hyampom (est)   noon 850  925  1,100   85% confidence actual flow is between 675 and 1000 cfs + Falling 4 cfs/hr
So. Trinity  At Forest Glen (est)   7am 1,250  1,350  1,600   90% confidence actual flow is between 1000 and 1500 cfs
So. Trinity  Below Hyampom   noon 2,250  2,500  2,900   Mar 14 Falling 11 cfs/hr
Trinity  At Hoopa   noon 7,250  7,750  8,750   2009 Water 46°F + Falling 13 cfs/hr
Redwood Creek  At Hwy 299   noon 330  360  410   2009  
Redwood Creek  At Orick   noon 1,500  1,750  2,450   2009  
Mad River  Above Ruth Lake   noon 350  430  550   Falling 2 cfs/hr
Mad River  At Arcata   noon 2,400  3,000  4,200   2009 Falling 19 cfs/hr
Van Duzen  At Bridgeville   noon 1,200  1,500  2,250   2009 Falling 11 cfs/hr
Mi. Eel  Near Dos Rios   noon 2,900  3,200  4,100   Falling 6 cfs/hr
So. Eel  At Leggett   noon 1,400  1,750  2,450   2009 Falling 11 cfs/hr
Eel  Rel Lake Pillsbury   avg   1,650  2,050   2009  
Eel  Inflow Van Arsdale (est)   avg     2,300   2009 Reservoir calculation, see Note 2
Eel  Below Outlet Creek (rough)   9am 2,300  3,400  5,750   Jan 31 81% confidence actual flow is between 1500 and 3100 cfs + Falling 32 cfs/hr
Eel  At Fort Seward   2pm 8,000  11,000  18,000   2009 Falling 73 cfs/hr
Eel  At Scotia   2pm 14,500  19,500  33,000   2009 Falling 155 cfs/hr
Mattole  Near Ettersburg   noon 650  825  1,100   2009 Falling 5 cfs/hr
Noyo River  Below South Fork   n/a        Flow currently unavailable
Rancheria Creek  At Mountain View Rd (est)   noon 310  400  550   Feb 8 70% confidence actual flow is between 235 and 390 cfs + Falling 3 cfs/hr
Navarro  Near Navarro   noon 1,000  1,300  1,850   Mar 14 Falling 10 cfs/hr
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California Central/South Coast  MON SUN SAT 
Time 03/15/10 03/14/10 03/13/10 BBS Comments
E. Fk Russian  Above Lake Mendocino   noon 245  300  440    
Big Sulphur Cr  At Geysers Resort   noon 55  69  98    
Big Sulphur Cr  Near Cloverdale   noon 280  320  390   Jan 18  
Russian  At Hopland   noon 750  975  1,550   Falling 7 cfs/hr
Russian  Near Cloverdale   noon 1,200  1,550  2,450   Jan 23 Falling 10 cfs/hr
Russian  Near Healdsburg   noon 2,200  2,800  4,600   2009  
Mark West Creek  Near Santa Rosa   n/a        Mar 15 Flow currently unavailable
Napa  Near Napa   noon 310  380  550   2009 Falling 3 cfs/hr
Arroyo Mocho  Near Livermore   n/a        Flow currently unavailable
Arroyo Valle  Above Lake Del Valle   noon 34  36  43   2009  
Arroyo Hondo  Near San Jose   noon 71  92  155   Water 48°F
Alameda Creek  Near Niles   noon 110  140  270   2006 Water 52°F
Pescadero Creek  Near Pescadero   noon 73  89  125    
San Lorenzo  At Felton   noon 205  240  320   Mar 9  
San Lorenzo  At Santa Cruz   noon 195  230  300    
Carmel  At Robles Del Rio   noon 320  340  370    
Carmel  Near Carmel   noon 340  370  420    
Big Sur  Near Big Sur   noon 250  270  280    
Arroyo Seco  Near Greenfield   noon 8.20ft  8.26ft  8.33ft   Feb 1  
Arroyo Seco  Near Soledad   noon 470  500  550    
Cuyama  Below Buckhorn Canyon   n/a        Flow currently unavailable
Santa Ynez  Below Los Laureles Canyon   noon 120  130  130    
Piru Creek  Above Pyramid Lake   noon 42  46  47    
Piru Creek  Above Lake Piru   noon     2008  
Piru Creek  Below Lake Piru   noon      
Sespe Creek  Near Fillmore   noon 125  130  135    
Santa Margarita  Near Temecula   noon     Water 61°F
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California Sacramento Valley  MON SUN SAT 
Time 03/15/10 03/14/10 03/13/10 BBS Comments
Sacramento  Below Box Canyon Dam   n/a        Mar 2 Flow currently unavailable
Sacramento  At Delta   noon 1,600  1,700  1,850   Dec 19 Falling 5 cfs/hr
McCloud  Inflow McCloud Res   noon 800  800  825   2009  
McCloud  At Ah-Di-Na   noon 210  215  225   Nov 27  
McCloud  At Shasta Lake   noon 1,100  1,150  1,200   2009 Water 45°F
Pit  Above Pit 1 Powerhouse   n/a        Flow currently unavailable
Pit  Below Pit 1 Powerhouse   noon 1,300  1,650  1,750   2009  
Pit  Below Pit 4 Dam   n/a        Flow currently unavailable
Pit  At Big Bend   n/a        Flow currently unavailable
Clear Creek  Below Whiskeytown Lake   noon 320  330  360   Water 47°F
So. Battle Creek  Above NF Confluence   noon 38  39  39   Water 48°F
Battle Creek  Above Baldwin Creek   noon 88  92  98    
Battle Creek  At Coleman Fish Hatchery   noon 450  480  525   2009 Rising 21 cfs/hr
No. Cottonwood  Above Middle Fork (rough)   noon   Low  Low   Jan 20 Estimate is outside the model's range of 250-1500 cfs
Mi. Cottonwood  Above North Fork (est)   noon   260  320   2009 81% confidence actual flow is between 210 and 320 cfs
So. Cottonwood  At Bowman Road (rough)   noon 175  195  230   2009 78% confidence actual flow is between 120 and 225 cfs
Sacramento  At Bend Bridge   noon 6,500  7,250  9,250   2009 Water 50°F
Antelope Creek  Above Cone Grove Rd (rough)   noon Low  Low  330   Estimate is outside the model's range of 300-1500 cfs
Elder Creek  At Lowrey Road   noon 190  200  215   2009  
Mill Creek  At End of Canyon   noon 350  410  500   2009 Water 47°F + Falling 2 cfs/hr
Deer Creek  Near Vina   noon 420  480  550   2009 Water 46°F + Falling 3 cfs/hr
Stony Creek  Inflow Black Butte Res   noon 430  775  420   Falling 269 cfs/hr
Butte Creek  Near Chico   noon 500  575  650   2009 Water 46°F
No. Cache Creek  Above Indian Valley Res   noon 140  180  250   Falling 2 cfs/hr
No. Cache Creek  Rel Indian Valley Dam   noon      
Cache Creek  Below Clear Lake   noon 24   11    
Bear Creek  Above Cache Creek   noon 56  62  90   2008  
Cache Creek  At Rumsey Bridge (Gage)   noon 310  340  440   2008  
Cache Creek  At Rumsey Bridge (Calc) (est)   noon 74  78  115   2009 Confidence unknown, treat this estimate with suspicion
Putah Creek  Below Hwy 29   noon 310  380  575   Falling 2 cfs/hr
Putah Creek  Below Lake Berryessa   noon 61  43  70    
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California Sierra - West Slope - Northern  MON SUN SAT 
Time 03/15/10 03/14/10 03/13/10 BBS Comments
Indian Creek  Below Indian Falls   noon 500  550  625    
Spanish Creek  Near Keddie   noon 240  270  320   2009  
Eb. No. Feather  Below Virgilia (est)   noon 925  1,000  1,200   2009 90% confidence actual flow is between 750 and 1100 cfs + Falling 2 cfs/hr
No. Feather  Below Rock Creek Dam   n/a        2009 Flow currently unavailable
No. Feather  Below Grizzly Creek   n/a        2007 Flow currently unavailable
No. Feather  Below Poe Dam   n/a        Nov 11 Releases + Flow currently unavailable
Mi. Feather  Below Sloat (est)   8am 460  470  525   2008 80% confidence actual flow is between 350 and 575 cfs
Mi. Feather  At Milsap Bar   noon 1,050  1,050  1,250   Feb 15  
So. Feather  Rel Little Grass Valley (sched)   noon 10  10  10   Sep 22 Expect 10 cfs until Fri Apr 30, then who knows? + Utility projection, see Note 4
So. Feather  Below Forbestown Div Dam (sched)   noon     2009 Expect 5 cfs until Fri Apr 30, then who knows? + Utility projection, see Note 4
West Br Feather  At Whiskey Flat Bridge   noon 290  310  380   Falling 2 cfs/hr
Lavezzola Creek  Above Downie River (est)   noon Low  75  81   2009  
Pauley Creek  At Pauley Creek Falls (est)   noon Low  Low  75   2009  
No. Yuba  At Sierra City (rough)   noon Low  Low  Low   2009 Estimate is outside the model's range of 400-3000 cfs
No. Yuba  Below Goodyears Bar   noon 550  600  650   Mar 15 Falling 3 cfs/hr
No. Yuba  Above Slate Creek   noon 800  875  975   Falling 2 cfs/hr
No. Yuba  Inflow New Bullards Bar (est)   avg   975  1,400   Reservoir calculation, see Note 2
No. Yuba  Below New Bullards Bar   n/a        2008 Flow currently unavailable
Mi. Yuba  Below Jackson Meadows   noon 10  10  10   2008  
Mi. Yuba  Below Milton Dam   noon     2008  
Mi. Yuba  Below Our House Dam   noon 36  36  37   2006  
So. Yuba  Near Cisco   noon     68   2009 Data are preliminary and subject to revision
Fordyce Creek  Below Fordyce Dam   noon     22   2009 Data are preliminary and subject to revision
Canyon Creek  Below French Lake   noon     2009  
Canyon Creek  Below Bowman Lake   noon     2008  
So. Yuba  At Lang Crossing   noon     24   2008 Data are preliminary and subject to revision
So. Yuba  At Hwy 49 Bridge   noon 410  480  650   2008  
Yuba  Rel Englebright Dam   noon 1,200  1,200  1,200   Water 49°F
Bear  At Hwy 20 Bridge   noon     15   2008 Data are preliminary and subject to revision
Bear  Below Drum Afterbay   noon     12   2008 Data are preliminary and subject to revision
Bear  Below Dutch Flat Afterbay   noon     2008  
Bear  At Hwy 174 Bridge   noon 270  280  290   Nov 18  
No. American  Inflow Lake Clementine   noon 925  1,050  1,400   Mar 15 Falling 4 cfs/hr
Rubicon  Below Hell Hole Dam   n/a        2006 Flow currently unavailable
Mi. American  NF at Mosquito Ridge Rd (est)   noon Low  Low  500   2009 Estimate is outside the model's range of 500-1000 cfs
Mi. American  Above Tunnel Chute   noon 1,200  900  1,350   Oct 3  
South Silver  At Autobahn   n/a        2009 Flow currently unavailable
So. Silver Cr  Below Ice House Res   n/a        Nov 25 Flow currently unavailable
So. American  Below Kyburz   noon 120  120  120   2009  
So. American  Below Slab Creek Dam   noon 35  35  35   2009 Rating table lookup, see Note 3
So. American  At Chili Bar   noon 1,500  1,600  1,650   Mar 9 Schedule + News and Rumors
American  Folsom Lake Elevation   noon 415.81ft  415.21ft  414.46ft   2008  
American  Below Lake Natoma   noon 1,350  1,350  1,350   2009  
Mi. Cosumnes  At Mt Aukum Rd   noon 175  185  215   2009  
Cosumnes  At Michigan Bar   noon 600  725  1,150   Falling 3 cfs/hr
No. Mokelumne  Salt Springs Inflow   n/a        2008 Insufficient data available to estimate flow
No. Mokelumne  Below Salt Springs Res   n/a        2009 Flow currently unavailable
No. Mokelumne  Above Tiger Cr Afterbay   n/a        2009 Flow currently unavailable
No. Mokelumne  Below Tiger Creek Dam   n/a        2009 Flow currently unavailable
No. Mokelumne  Below West Point P.H.   n/a        2008 Flow currently unavailable
Mokelumne  Below Electra Powerhouse   n/a        2009 Flow currently unavailable
Mokelumne  Inflow Pardee Res (est)   noon 1,200  950  1,200   Oct 4 Reservoir calculation, see Note 2
Calaveras  Rel New Hogan   noon 22  22  22    
Highland Creek  Near No. Stan Confluence   1pm 37  37  37    
No. Stanislaus  At Avery   1pm 225  225  235   Sep 17 Water 42°F
Mi. Stanislaus  Inflow Donnell Lake (est)   avg   195  210   Reservoir calculation, see Note 2
Mi. Stanislaus  At Mount Knight   n/a        Insufficient data available to estimate flow
Stanislaus  At Camp Nine   n/a        Flow currently unavailable
Stanislaus  Inflow New Melones Lake (est)   avg   1,100  1,450   Reservoir calculation, see Note 2
Stanislaus  At Orange Blossom Bridge   noon 195  205  230   2007 Water 53°F
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California Sierra - West Slope - Southern  MON SUN SAT 
Time 03/15/10 03/14/10 03/13/10 BBS Comments
Tuolumne  Above Hetch Hetchy Res   noon 210  190  205   Water 39°F
Tuolumne  Below Hetch Hetchy   noon 64  65  66   Water 46°F
Tuolumne  Above Early Intake   noon 160  175  230   Water 47°F
Cherry Creek  Above Cherry Lake (est)   noon 360  350  380   Mar 11 Confidence unknown, treat this estimate with suspicion
Cherry Creek  Below Cherry Lake   noon     2006 Water 44°F
Cherry Creek  Above Holm Powerhouse   noon 99  105  115   2006 Water 43°F
Cherry Creek  Below Holm Powerhouse   10am 1,100  1,100  1,150   2009 Water 44°F
Tuolumne  Below Early Intake   10am 440  470  575   2009 Water 46°F
Tuolumne  At Mushroom (est)   11am 1,550  1,600  1,700   2009 90% confidence actual flow is between 1450 and 1650 cfs
Mi. Tuolumne  Above So. Fork Confluence   noon 62  67  88   2009  
So. Tuolumne  At Rainbow Pool   noon 125  140  195    
Tuolumne  At Merals Pool (est)   noon 1,750  1,800  2,000   Feb 4 90% confidence actual flow is between 1650 and 1850 cfs
Clavey  Near Hunter Bend   n/a        2009 No estimate for this time of year
Tuolumne  Inflow New Don Pedro Res   avg   3,000  3,500   2009  
Tuolumne  Outflow New Don Pedro Res   avg   220  230   Reservoir elevation 794.91 ft
Merced  At Pohono Bridge   noon 280  245  260   2007  
Merced  At Red Bud (est)   10am     340   2007 Confidence unknown, treat this estimate with suspicion
So. Merced  At Wawona   10am 120  110  130   2008  
So. Merced  At Hwy 140 Bridge   n/a        2008 No estimate for this time of year
Merced  Below Briceburg   noon 875  875  1,000   2007  
Merced  Inflow Lake McClure (est)   avg   1,350  1,750   2007 Reservoir calculation, see Note 2
Fresno  Above Hensley Lake   noon 210  260  470   2009  
Mi. San Joaquin  At Devil's Postpile   n/a        2006 Flow currently unavailable
San Joaquin  At Miller Crossing   n/a        2009 No estimate for this time of year
Mono Creek  Below Lake Edison   noon 460  470  470   2008  
So. San Joaquin  Below Florence Lake   noon 33  32  32   2006  
San Joaquin  Below Mammoth Pool Res   noon 16  16  18   2006  
San Joaquin  Chawanakee Gorge   noon 775  235  925   2006  
No. Willow Creek  Near Sugar Pine   n/a        2006 Flow currently unavailable
San Joaquin  Below Redinger Lake   noon 34  34  34   2006  
San Joaquin  At Horseshoe Bend   noon 120  135  245   2006  
San Joaquin  At Patterson Bend   noon 34  33  34   2006  
San Joaquin  At Squaw Leap Falls   n/a        2006 Insufficient data available to estimate flow
San Joaquin  Inflow Millerton Lake   avg   2,350  2,700   2006  
Dinkey Creek  At Dinkey Meadow   n/a        Insufficient data available to estimate flow
Dinkey Creek  Above North Fork Kings   n/a        2009 Insufficient data available to estimate flow
No. Kings  Below Balch Diversion Dam   noon 13  15  20   2007  
No. Kings  Above Dinkey Creek   noon 1.43ft  1.45ft  1.48ft   Dec 25  
No. Kings  Below Dinkey Creek   noon 260  260  310   2008  
So. Kings  Below Cedar Grove (est)   8am 340  340  370   80% confidence actual flow is between 260 and 430 cfs
Kings  At Rodgers Crossing (est)   noon 950  950  1,100   Nov 18 90% confidence actual flow is between 900 and 1000 cfs
Kings  Inflow Pine Flat Res (est)   3pm 1,600  2,200  2,350   Reservoir calculation, see Note 2
Kings  Rel Pine Flat Lake   noon 350  300  310    
Mill Creek  Above Kings River   noon 86  100  125    
No. Kaweah  At Kaweah (est)   noon 300  Low  420   87% confidence actual flow is between 225 and 380 cfs + Rising 3 cfs/hr
Kaweah  At Three Rivers   4pm 575  600  725   2007  
Kaweah  Inflow Terminus Res   noon 800  775  1,100   2009  
Kaweah  Below Terminus Dam   noon 94  775  775    
Tule  Near Springville   noon 290  320  430    
Tule  Inflow Lake Success   noon 330  500  600    
No. Kern  At Kernville   noon 675  675  700   2007  
So. Kern  Near Onyx   noon 92  90  88   2009 Rising 3 cfs/hr
Kern  Above Borel Powerhouse   noon 27  27  27   2006 Water 53°F
Kern  Rel Lake Isabella   noon 410  330  410   2008  
Kern  Below Democrat   n/a        2006 No estimate for this time of year
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California Sierra - East Slope  MON SUN SAT 
Time 03/15/10 03/14/10 03/13/10 BBS Comments
Susan  At Susanville   noon 110  105  115   Falling 2 cfs/hr
Truckee  Below Lake Tahoe   noon 11  10  13    
Truckee  Near Truckee   noon 48  55  60   2006  
Truckee  At Boca Bridge   10am 400  390  400    
Truckee  Near Floriston   noon 420  420  430   2008  
E. Fk Carson  Near Markleeville   noon 135  110  145   2008 Falling 2 cfs/hr
E. Fk Carson  Near Gardnerville   noon 180  165  195    
West Walker  At Little Walker River   10am 52  35  57   2009 Rising 2 cfs/hr
West Walker  At Walker   noon 67  56  72   Falling 5 cfs/hr
East Walker  Near Bridgeport   noon 33  23  23    
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Nevada Rivers  MON SUN SAT 
Time 03/15/10 03/14/10 03/13/10 BBS Comments
Truckee  Near Floriston   noon 420  420  430   2008  
Truckee  At Reno   noon 390  390  410    
E. Fk Carson  Near Markleeville   noon 135  110  145   2008 Falling 2 cfs/hr
E. Fk Carson  Near Gardnerville   noon 180  165  195    
Carson  Near Carson City   noon 175  195  200    
West Walker  At Little Walker River   10am 52  35  57   2009 Rising 2 cfs/hr
West Walker  At Walker   noon 67  56  72   Falling 5 cfs/hr
East Walker  Near Bridgeport   noon 33  23  23    
Lower Colorado  Release Hoover Dam   noon 9,250  9,250  7,750    
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Estimate Information

All Dreamflows estimates are estimates - which means they may well be incorrect.  For this reason, don't undertake expensive or time-consuming trips based solely on the estimate (or if you do, accept the possibility of being skunked).  Always try to confirm the sanity of the estimate by means of rainfall, snowpack, similar flows in similar drainages, word of mouth, etc.

Note 1  Confidence information appearing in the Comments column of the report means Dreamflows calculated the flow using a statistically-derived model.  In that case, two things.  Firstly, that confidence information is theoretical - it's based on the available historical data, which may or may not cover the current water year type.  Secondly, a confidence of (say) 85% sounds wonderful, but don't forget that also means there's a 15% chance the actual flow will be outside the given range.  You can report the accuracy of an estimate by visiting the river-levels webpage.

Note 2  Reservoir calculations are based on storage change.  Though useful indicators of flow trends, they can at times be amazingly inaccurate, especially if the reservoir is large.  See the Dreamflows FAQ for details.

Note 3  When gauge height is available but river flow is not, where possible, Dreamflows converts gauge height to river flow using a rating table.  The rating table used is the most currently-available, but still usually out-of-date, so the reported flow will probably be inaccurate to some extent.  You can report the accuracy of an estimate by visiting the river-levels webpage.

Note 4  Good-faith projections by the operating utility are usually reliable, but even so the scheduled releases might not occur, or be different than projected.  Reasons for this include (but are not limited to) operational, health, safety and legal.

Note 5  Informal projections by the operating utility are usually fairly reliable, however they can (and sometimes do) change radically without notice.  It's good to take these predictions with a grain of salt.

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