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 Topic:  Chili Bar - 2016 Release Predictions 

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Posted to flow site: So. American - At Chili BarLatest PostNext TopicPrev Topic
 Author  Message 
rustysage
Member
Posted: Sep 8, 2016Post Subject: 9/8 flow
think the dam operator forgot about the schedule today? no flow...
chris
Site Admin
Posted: Sep 8, 2016
Indeed. Though it's up now (came up at 10, an hour late )
chris
Site Admin
Posted: Sep 13, 2016
SMUD shared their release predictions for this coming week.  In the following table, 'Inflow' is the anticipated average inflow to Chili Bar reservoir, while 'Release' is the required minimum release to the river per the license agreement:

DayDateInflowRelease
TueSep 13933 AFNo Recreational Flow
WedSep 141076 AFNo Recreational Flow
ThuSep 152462 AF1500 cfs for 3 hours
FriSep 161164 AF1500 cfs for 3 hours
SatSep 171181 AF1500 cfs for 3 hours
SunSep 18562 AF1500 cfs for 3 hours
MonSep 19560 AFNo Recreational Flow
TueSep 201135 AFNo Recreational Flow

Divide 'Inflow' by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average inflow to Chili Bar reservoir is about 600 cfs.  Expect fluctuations in flow below Chili Bar, sometimes big ones.  Note that magnitude and timing of releases from Chili Bar reservoir don't necessarily co-incide with inflow, and in fact often Chili Bar releases water 'today' that was stored 'yesterday'.  Nevertheless, the Inflow column can be used to guess whether more than the minimum will be released.  Note also that the above is what SMUD predicts, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), the values show in the Inflow column could be more, or less.  However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the minimum flows below Chili Bar shown in the Release column, and confirmed on the scheduled release page.
chris
Site Admin
Posted: Oct 4, 2016
SMUD shared their release predictions for this coming week.  In the following table, 'Inflow' is the anticipated average inflow to Chili Bar reservoir, while 'Release' is the required minimum release to the river per the license agreement:

DayDateInflowRelease
TueOct 41007 AFNo Recreational Flow
WedOct 5504 AFNo Recreational Flow
ThuOct 61393 AFNo Recreational Flow
FriOct 71197 AF1300 cfs for 3 hours
SatOct 81173 AF1500 cfs for 3 hours
SunOct 91046 AF1500 cfs for 3 hours
MonOct 10581 AF1300 cfs for 3 hours
TueOct 11641 AFNo Recreational Flow

Divide 'Inflow' by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average inflow to Chili Bar reservoir is about 575 cfs.  Expect fluctuations in flow below Chili Bar, sometimes big ones.  Note that magnitude and timing of releases from Chili Bar reservoir don't necessarily co-incide with inflow, and in fact often Chili Bar releases water 'today' that was stored 'yesterday'.  Nevertheless, the Inflow column can be used to guess whether more than the minimum will be released (and if so, how much more).  Note also that the above is what SMUD predicts, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), the values show in the Inflow column could be more, or less.  However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the minimum flows below Chili Bar shown in the Release column, and confirmed on the scheduled release page.
chris
Site Admin
Posted: Oct 12, 2016
SMUD shared their release predictions for this coming week.  In the following table, 'Inflow' is the anticipated average inflow to Chili Bar reservoir, while 'Release' is the required minimum release to the river per the license agreement:

DayDateInflowRelease
WedOct 12641 AFNo Recreational Flow
ThuOct 131120 AFNo Recreational Flow
FriOct 141199 AF1300 cfs for 3 hours
SatOct 151253 AF1500 cfs for 3 hours
SunOct 16769 AF1500 cfs for 3 hours
MonOct 17159 AF1300 cfs for 3 hours
TueOct 18630 AFNo Recreational Flow
WedOct 19159 AFNo Recreational Flow

Divide 'Inflow' by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average inflow to Chili Bar reservoir is about 625 cfs.  Expect fluctuations in flow below Chili Bar, sometimes big ones.  Note that magnitude and timing of releases from Chili Bar reservoir don't necessarily co-incide with inflow, and in fact often Chili Bar releases water 'today' that was stored 'yesterday'.  Nevertheless, the Inflow column can be used to guess whether more than the minimum will be released (and if so, how much more).  Note also that the above is what SMUD predicts, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), the values show in the Inflow column could be more, or less.  However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the minimum flows below Chili Bar shown in the Release column, and confirmed on the scheduled release page.
chris
Site Admin
Posted: Oct 17, 2016
Based on CDEC B120 reports, which are forecasts of Full Natural Flow, 2016 was originally designated as an Above Normal water year.

However, measurements of actual Full Natural Flow show that "Unimpaired Runoff" above Folsom Reservoir has been 2.59 MAF (million acre-feet). This is only a little less that the original forecasts, but still enough to change the water year type from Above Normal to Below Normal.

The significant difference is that weekend releases from November 1 onward will be 1300 cfs, instead of 1500 cfs.

The Below Normal designation is expected to remain in effect until around February 10, 2017.

The schedule until the end of February, 2017, based on the new "Below Normal" water year designation, has been updated and posted on the release schedule page.
chris
Site Admin
Posted: Oct 18, 2016
SMUD shared their release predictions for this coming week.  In the following table, 'Inflow' is the anticipated average inflow to Chili Bar reservoir, while 'Release' is the required minimum release to the river per the license agreement:

DayDateInflowRelease
TueOct 181027 AFNo Recreational Flow
WedOct 191066 AFNo Recreational Flow
ThuOct 201210 AFNo Recreational Flow
FriOct 211352 AF1300 cfs for 3 hours
SatOct 221356 AF1500 cfs for 3 hours
SunOct 231221 AF1500 cfs for 3 hours
MonOct 24808 AF1300 cfs for 3 hours
TueOct 25786 AFNo Recreational Flow

Divide 'Inflow' by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average inflow to Chili Bar reservoir is about 675 cfs.  Expect fluctuations in flow below Chili Bar, sometimes big ones.  Note that magnitude and timing of releases from Chili Bar reservoir don't necessarily co-incide with inflow, and in fact often Chili Bar releases water 'today' that was stored 'yesterday'.  Nevertheless, the Inflow column can be used to guess whether more than the minimum will be released (and if so, how much more).  Note also that the above is what SMUD predicts, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), the values show in the Inflow column could be more, or less.  However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the minimum flows below Chili Bar shown in the Release column, and confirmed on the scheduled release page.
chris
Site Admin
Posted: Nov 8, 2016
SMUD shared their release predictions for this coming week.  In the following table, 'Inflow' is the anticipated average inflow to Chili Bar reservoir, while 'Release' is the required minimum release to the river per the license agreement:

DayDateInflowRelease
TueNov 81073 AFNo Recreational Release
WedNov 91018 AFNo Recreational Release
ThuNov 10967 AFNo Recreational Release
FriNov 111141 AFNo Recreational Release
SatNov 121144 AF1300 cfs for 3 hours
SunNov 13838 AF1300 cfs for 3 hours
MonNov 14337 AFNo Recreational Release

Divide 'Inflow' by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average inflow to Chili Bar reservoir is about 575 cfs.  Expect fluctuations in flow below Chili Bar, sometimes big ones.  Note that magnitude and timing of releases from Chili Bar reservoir don't necessarily co-incide with inflow, and in fact often Chili Bar releases water 'today' that was stored 'yesterday'.  Nevertheless, the Inflow column can be used to guess whether more than the minimum will be released (and if so, how much more).  Note also that the above is what SMUD predicts, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), the values show in the Inflow column could be more, or less.  However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the minimum flows below Chili Bar shown in the Release column, and confirmed on the scheduled release page.
chris
Site Admin
Posted: Nov 14, 2016
SMUD shared their release predictions for this coming week.  In the following table, 'Inflow' is the anticipated average inflow to Chili Bar reservoir, while 'Release' is the required minimum release to the river per the license agreement:

DayDateInflowRelease
MonNov 14811 AFNo Recreational Release
TueNov 15743 AFNo Recreational Release
WedNov 16742 AFNo Recreational Release
ThuNov 17693 AFNo Recreational Release
FriNov 181161 AFNo Recreational Release
SatNov 191160 AF1300 cfs for 3 hours
SunNov 20725 AF1300 cfs for 3 hours
MonNov 21816 AFNo Recreational Release

Divide 'Inflow' by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average inflow to Chili Bar reservoir is about 575 cfs.  Expect fluctuations in flow below Chili Bar, sometimes big ones.  Note that magnitude and timing of releases from Chili Bar reservoir don't necessarily co-incide with inflow, and in fact often Chili Bar releases water 'today' that was stored 'yesterday'.  Nevertheless, the Inflow column can be used to guess whether more than the minimum will be released (and if so, how much more).  Note also that the above is what SMUD predicts, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), the values show in the Inflow column could be more, or less.  However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the minimum flows below Chili Bar shown in the Release column, and confirmed on the release schedule page.
chris
Site Admin
Posted: Nov 29, 2016
SMUD shared their release predictions for this coming week.  In the following table, 'Inflow' is the anticipated average inflow to Chili Bar reservoir, while 'Release' is the required minimum release to the river per the license agreement:

DayDateInflowRelease
TueNov 291710 AFNo Recreational Release
WedNov 301291 AFNo Recreational Release
ThuDec 1922 AFNo Recreational Release
FriDec 21069 AFNo Recreational Release
SatDec 31081 AF1300 cfs for 3 hours
SunDec 4797 AF1300 cfs for 3 hours
MonDec 5769 AFNo Recreational Release
TueDec 6738 AFNo Recreational Release

Divide 'Inflow' by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average inflow to Chili Bar reservoir is about 550 cfs.  Expect fluctuations in flow below Chili Bar, sometimes big ones.  Note that magnitude and timing of releases from Chili Bar reservoir don't necessarily co-incide with inflow, and in fact often Chili Bar releases water 'today' that was stored 'yesterday'.  Nevertheless, the Inflow column can be used to guess whether more than the minimum will be released (and if so, how much more).  Note also that the above is what SMUD predicts, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), the values show in the Inflow column could be more, or less.  However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the minimum flows below Chili Bar shown in the Release column, and confirmed on the release schedule page.
chris
Site Admin
Posted: Dec 6, 2016
SMUD shared their release predictions for this coming week.  In the following table, 'Inflow' is the anticipated average inflow to Chili Bar reservoir, while 'Release' is the required minimum release to the river per the license agreement:

DayDateInflowRelease
TueDec 6633 AFNo Recreational Release
WedDec 7682 AFNo Recreational Release
ThuDec 81062 AFNo Recreational Release
FriDec 92123 AFNo Recreational Release
SatDec 101928 AF1300 cfs for 3 hours
SunDec 111292 AF1300 cfs for 3 hours
MonDec 121280 AFNo Recreational Release
TueDec 131671 AFNo Recreational Release

Divide 'Inflow' by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average inflow to Chili Bar reservoir is about 975 cfs.  Expect fluctuations in flow below Chili Bar, sometimes big ones.  Note that magnitude and timing of releases from Chili Bar reservoir don't necessarily co-incide with inflow, and in fact often Chili Bar releases water 'today' that was stored 'yesterday'.  Nevertheless, the Inflow column can be used to guess whether more than the minimum will be released (and if so, how much more).  Note also that the above is what SMUD predicts, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), the values show in the Inflow column could be more, or less.  However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the minimum flows below Chili Bar shown in the Release column, and confirmed on the release schedule page.
chris
Site Admin
Posted: Dec 13, 2016
SMUD shared their release predictions for this coming week.  In the following table, 'Inflow' is the anticipated average inflow to Chili Bar reservoir, while 'Release' is the required minimum release to the river per the license agreement:

DayDateInflowRelease
TueDec 133153 AFNo Recreational Release
WedDec 144193 AFNo Recreational Release
ThuDec 154519 AFNo Recreational Release
FriDec 166254 AFNo Recreational Release
SatDec 173730 AF1300 cfs for 3 hours
SunDec 182997 AF1300 cfs for 3 hours
MonDec 192626 AFNo Recreational Release
TueDec 202424 AFNo Recreational Release

Divide 'Inflow' by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average inflow to Chili Bar reservoir is about 1850 cfs.  Expect fluctuations in flow below Chili Bar, sometimes big ones.  Note that magnitude and timing of releases from Chili Bar reservoir don't necessarily co-incide with inflow, and in fact often Chili Bar releases water 'today' that was stored 'yesterday'.  Nevertheless, the Inflow column can be used to guess whether more than the minimum will be released (and if so, how much more).  Note also that the above is what SMUD predicts, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), the values show in the Inflow column could be more, or less.  However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the minimum flows below Chili Bar shown in the Release column, and confirmed on the release schedule page.
chris
Site Admin
Posted: Dec 20, 2016
SMUD shared their release predictions for this coming week.  In the following table, 'Inflow' is the anticipated average inflow to Chili Bar reservoir, while 'Release' is the required minimum release to the river per the license agreement:

DayDateInflowRelease
TueDec 201923 AFNo Recreational Release
WedDec 212208 AFNo Recreational Release
ThuDec 222214 AFNo Recreational Release
FriDec 232283 AFNo Recreational Release
SatDec 243499 AF1300 cfs for 3 hours
SunDec 252610 AF1300 cfs for 3 hours
MonDec 262519 AFNo Recreational Release
TueDec 272471 AFNo Recreational Release

Divide 'Inflow' by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average inflow to Chili Bar reservoir is about 1750 cfs.  Expect fluctuations in flow below Chili Bar, sometimes big ones.  Note that magnitude and timing of releases from Chili Bar reservoir don't necessarily co-incide with inflow, and in fact often Chili Bar releases water 'today' that was stored 'yesterday'.  Nevertheless, the Inflow column can be used to guess whether more than the minimum will be released (and if so, how much more).  Note also that the above is what SMUD predicts, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), the values show in the Inflow column could be more, or less.  However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the minimum flows below Chili Bar shown in the Release column, and confirmed on the release schedule page.
chris
Site Admin
Posted: Dec 27, 2016
SMUD shared their release predictions for this coming week.  In the following table, 'Inflow' is the anticipated average inflow to Chili Bar reservoir, while 'Release' is the required minimum release to the river per the license agreement:

DayDateInflowRelease
TueDec 271346 AFNo Recreational Release
WedDec 281911 AFNo Recreational Release
ThuDec 291835 AFNo Recreational Release
FriDec 301437 AFNo Recreational Release
SatDec 311377 AF1300 cfs for 3 hours
SunJan 11324 AF1300 cfs for 3 hours
MonJan 21344 AFNo Recreational Release
TueJan 31365 AFNo Recreational Release

Divide 'Inflow' by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average inflow to Chili Bar reservoir is about 700 cfs.  Expect fluctuations in flow below Chili Bar, sometimes big ones.  Note that magnitude and timing of releases from Chili Bar reservoir don't necessarily co-incide with inflow, and in fact often Chili Bar releases water 'today' that was stored 'yesterday'.  Nevertheless, the Inflow column can be used to guess whether more than the minimum will be released (and if so, how much more).  Note also that the above is what SMUD predicts, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), the values show in the Inflow column could be more, or less.  However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the minimum flows below Chili Bar shown in the Release column, and confirmed on the release schedule page.
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