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chris
Site Admin
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Posted: Jan 7, 2015 Post Subject: Chili Bar - 2015 Release Predictions
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| SMUD shared their predictions of expected average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows:
| Tue | Jan 6 | 347 AF
| | Wed | Jan 7 | 511 AF
| | Thu | Jan 8 | 494 AF
| | Fri | Jan 9 | 478 AF
| | Sat | Jan 10 | 834 AF
| | Sun | Jan 11 | 445 AF
| | Mon | Jan 12 | 431 AF
| | Tue | Jan 13 | 417 AF
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Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 420 cfs. Note these are only the average flows; expect fluctuations, sometimes big ones. Note also that this is what SMUD expect to release, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), it could be more, or less. However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the scheduled releases.
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chris
Site Admin
|
| SMUD shared their predictions of expected average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows:
| Tue | Jan 13 | 537 AF
| | Wed | Jan 14 | 521 AF
| | Thu | Jan 15 | 508 AF
| | Fri | Jan 16 | 499 AF
| | Sat | Jan 17 | 872 AF
| | Sun | Jan 18 | 487 AF
| | Mon | Jan 19 | 479 AF
| | Tue | Jan 20 | 470 AF
|
Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 440 cfs. Note these are only the average flows; expect fluctuations, sometimes big ones. Note also that this is what SMUD expect to release, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), it could be more, or less. However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the scheduled releases.
|
chris
Site Admin
|
| SMUD shared their predictions of expected average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows:
| Tue | Jan 20 | 517 AF
| | Wed | Jan 21 | 683 AF
| | Thu | Jan 22 | 327 AF
| | Fri | Jan 23 | 327 AF
| | Sat | Jan 24 | 851 AF
| | Sun | Jan 25 | 501 AF
| | Mon | Jan 26 | 504 AF
| | Tue | Jan 27 | 327 AF
|
Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 420 cfs. Note these are only the average flows; expect fluctuations, sometimes big ones. Note also that this is what SMUD expect to release, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), it could be more, or less. However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the scheduled releases.
|
chris
Site Admin
|
| SMUD shared their predictions of expected average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows:
| Tue | Jan 27 | 345 AF
| | Wed | Jan 28 | 646 AF
| | Thu | Jan 29 | 517 AF
| | Fri | Jan 30 | 501 AF
| | Sat | Jan 31 | 870 AF
| | Sun | Feb 1 | 483 AF
| | Mon | Feb 2 | 471 AF
| | Tue | Feb 3 | 468 AF
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Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 430 cfs. Note these are only the average flows; expect fluctuations, sometimes big ones. Note also that this is what SMUD expect to release, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), it could be more, or less. However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the scheduled releases.
|
chris
Site Admin
|
| SMUD shared their predictions of expected average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows:
| Tue | Feb 3 | 527 AF
| | Wed | Feb 4 | 527 AF
| | Thu | Feb 5 | 1245 AF
| | Fri | Feb 6 | 1517 AF
| | Sat | Feb 7 | 2802 AF
| | Sun | Feb 8 | 997 AF
| | Mon | Feb 9 | 1632 AF
| | Tue | Feb 10 | 1421 AF
|
Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 1400 cfs. Note these are only the average flows; expect fluctuations, sometimes big ones. Note also that this is what SMUD expect to release, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), it could be more, or less. However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the scheduled releases.
|
chris
Site Admin
|
| SMUD shared their predictions of expected average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows:
| Wed | Feb 11 | 4508 AF
| | Thu | Feb 12 | 2244 AF
| | Fri | Feb 13 | 2066 AF
| | Sat | Feb 14 | 2390 AF
| | Sun | Feb 15 | 1999 AF
| | Mon | Feb 16 | 1748 AF
| | Tue | Feb 17 | 1766 AF
| | Wed | Feb 18 | 915 AF
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Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 1200 cfs. Note these are only the average flows; expect fluctuations, sometimes big ones. Note also that this is what SMUD expect to release, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), it could be more, or less. However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the scheduled releases.
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chris
Site Admin
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| The B120 report for February came out Monday, and it predicts that the "Unimpaired Runoff" above Folsom Reservoir will be 1.435 MAF (million acre-feet). This is within the Dry range, but since the last two years were Dry or worse, the actual designation is still Super Dry (which is the worst possible designation).
The result is that we continue to lose Sunday scheduled releases below Chili Bar for the near future. However, even if the Super Dry year continues, in April we go to a Saturday, Sunday, Monday release through Memorial Day, and thereafter we go to a 5 day a week release schedule.
The Super Dry designation will persist at least until the next B120 bulletin comes out, around March 10. If we have significant precipitation between now and then, the situation could improve after March 10, and if so the schedule will change in some respects. So, be sure to check back around March 10.
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chris
Site Admin
|
| SMUD shared their predictions of expected average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows:
| Tue | Feb 17 | 327 AF
| | Wed | Feb 18 | 327 AF
| | Thu | Feb 19 | 327 AF
| | Fri | Feb 20 | 327 AF
| | Sat | Feb 21 | 834 AF
| | Sun | Feb 22 | 327 AF
| | Mon | Feb 23 | 327 AF
| | Tue | Feb 24 | 327 AF
|
Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 420 cfs. Note these are only the average flows; expect fluctuations, sometimes big ones. Note also that this is what SMUD expect to release, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), it could be more, or less. However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the scheduled releases.
|
chris
Site Admin
|
| SMUD shared their predictions of expected average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows:
| Wed | Feb 25 | 327 AF
| | Thu | Feb 26 | 327 AF
| | Fri | Feb 27 | 327 AF
| | Sat | Feb 28 | 834 AF
| | Sun | Mar 1 | 327 AF
| | Mon | Mar 2 | 327 AF
| | Tue | Mar 3 | 327 AF
| | Wed | Mar 4 | 327 AF
|
Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 420 cfs. Note these are only the average flows; expect fluctuations, sometimes big ones. Note also that this is what SMUD expect to release, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), it could be more, or less. However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the scheduled releases.
|
chris
Site Admin
|
| The B120 report for March came out yesterday, and it predicts that the "Unimpaired Runoff" above Folsom Reservoir will be 1.155 MAF (million acre-feet). This is down from last month, but still within the Dry range. Since the last two years were Dry or worse, the actual designation is still Super Dry (which is the worst possible designation).
The result is that we continue to lose Sunday scheduled releases below Chili Bar for the near future. However, even if the Super Dry year continues, in April we go to a Saturday, Sunday, Monday release through Memorial Day, and thereafter we go to a 5 day a week release schedule.
The Super Dry designation will persist at least until the next B120 bulletin comes out, around April 10. If we have significant precipitation between now and then (unlikely, but possible), the situation could improve after April 10, and if so the schedule will change in some respects. So, be sure to check back around April 10.
|
chris
Site Admin
|
| SMUD shared their predictions of expected average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows:
| Tue | Mar 17 | 327 AF
| | Wed | Mar 18 | 327 AF
| | Thu | Mar 19 | 327 AF
| | Fri | Mar 20 | 327 AF
| | Sat | Mar 21 | 834 AF
| | Sun | Mar 22 | 327 AF
| | Mon | Mar 23 | 327 AF
| | Tue | Mar 24 | 327 AF
|
Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 420 cfs. Note these are only the average flows; expect fluctuations, sometimes big ones. Note also that this is what SMUD expect to release, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), it could be more, or less. However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the scheduled releases.
|
chris
Site Admin
|
| SMUD shared their predictions of expected average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows:
| Tue | Mar 31 | 327 AF
| | Wed | Apr 1 | 327 AF
| | Thu | Apr 2 | 327 AF
| | Fri | Apr 3 | 327 AF
| | Sat | Apr 4 | 834 AF
| | Sun | Apr 5 | 834 AF
| | Mon | Apr 6 | 834 AF
| | Tue | Apr 7 | 327 AF
|
Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 420 cfs. Note these are only the average flows; expect fluctuations, sometimes big ones. Note also that this is what SMUD expect to release, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), it could be more, or less. However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the scheduled releases.
|
chris
Site Admin
|
| SMUD shared their predictions of expected average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows:
| Wed | Apr 8 | 327 AF
| | Thu | Apr 9 | 327 AF
| | Fri | Apr 10 | 327 AF
| | Sat | Apr 11 | 834 AF
| | Sun | Apr 12 | 834 AF
| | Mon | Apr 13 | 834 AF
| | Tue | Apr 14 | 327 AF
| | Wed | Apr 15 | 327 AF
|
Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 420 cfs. Note these are only the average flows; expect fluctuations, sometimes big ones. Note also that this is what SMUD expect to release, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), it could be more, or less. However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the scheduled releases.
|
chris
Site Admin
|
| The B120 report for April came out today, and it predicts that the "Unimpaired Runoff" above Folsom Reservoir will be 0.870 MAF (million acre-feet). This is down from last month, and is now in the Critically Dry range. Since the last two years were Dry or worse, the actual designation is still Super Dry (which is the worst possible designation).
The Super Dry designation will persist at least until the next B120 bulletin comes out, around May 10. If we have significant precipitation between now and then (unlikely), the situation could improve after May 10, and if so the schedule will change in some respects. So, be sure to check back around May 10.
|
chris
Site Admin
|
| SMUD shared their predictions of expected average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows:
| Tue | Apr 14 | 327 AF
| | Wed | Apr 15 | 327 AF
| | Thu | Apr 16 | 327 AF
| | Fri | Apr 17 | 327 AF
| | Sat | Apr 18 | 834 AF
| | Sun | Apr 19 | 834 AF
| | Mon | Apr 20 | 834 AF
| | Tue | Apr 21 | 327 AF
|
Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 420 cfs. Note these are only the average flows; expect fluctuations, sometimes big ones. Note also that this is what SMUD expect to release, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), it could be more, or less. However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the scheduled releases.
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