Topic:  Chili Bar - Normal Water Year 

Forums -> Archive -> Chili Bar - Normal Water Year

Page 1 of 2 Goto 1  2  Next

Posted to flow site: So. American - At Chili BarLatest PostNext TopicPrev Topic  Author   Message  chris Site Admin Posted: Apr 21, 2009Post Subject: Chili Bar - Normal Water Year Thought it's time to start a new thread. In case you haven't been following along, the water year type recently changed from "Super Dry" to "Normal". SMUD today shared their predictions of average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows: Tue Apr 21 831 AF Wed Apr 22 496 AF Thu Apr 23 831 AF Fri Apr 24 831 AF Sat Apr 25 897 AF Sun Apr 26 897 AF Mon Apr 27 831 AF Tue Apr 28 831 AF Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 450 cfs. Don't Panic! This is only the average flow; expect fluctuations. Note low on Wednesdays, moderate the rest of the week, and a bit higher on weekends. What these numbers tell me is that SMUD is planning to follow the schedule ("dry" Wednesdays, releases the rest of the week, better releases on weekends). Of course, they'll release more and/or longer than promised when they feel the need, they just don't know when that'll be yet. chris Site Admin Posted: Apr 29, 2009 SMUD shared their predictions of average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows: Wed Apr 29 496 AF Thu Apr 30 831 AF Fri May 1 831 AF Sat May 2 897 AF Sun May 3 897 AF Mon May 4 831 AF Tue May 5 831 AF Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 450 cfs. Don't Panic! This is only the average flow; expect fluctuations. Last week, I detected minimal correlation between their predictions and reality (reality was higher flows than predicted), so am assuming the same will hold true this week. Bottom line: expect at least the scheduled release flows, and actual releases may well be significantly higher. chris Site Admin Posted: May 5, 2009 SMUD shared their predictions of average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows: Tue May 5 831 AF Wed May 6 672 AF Thu May 7 831 AF Fri May 8 831 AF Sat May 9 897 AF Sun May 10 897 AF Mon May 11 831 AF Tue May 12 831 AF See previous posts (above) for clues as to what all this might mean. chris Site Admin Posted: May 12, 2009 SMUD shared their predictions of average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows: Tue May 12 831 AF Wed May 13 532 AF Thu May 14 831 AF Fri May 15 831 AF Sat May 16 897 AF Sun May 17 897 AF Mon May 18 831 AF Tue May 19 831 AF See previous posts (above) for clues as to what all this might mean. chris Site Admin Posted: May 19, 2009 Good news! The SF American is now officially designated as a Below Normal water year (as opposed to Super Dry), which means that this schedule is in effect. The Below Water designation will persist until February 2010, at which point the situation will be re-evaluated. chris Site Admin Posted: May 19, 2009 SMUD shared their predictions of expected average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows: Tue May 19 5705 AF Wed May 20 5720 AF Thu May 21 5660 AF Fri May 22 5552 AF Sat May 23 5422 AF Sun May 24 5422 AF Mon May 25 5422 AF Tue May 26 5422 AF Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 2700 cfs. Note these are only the average flows; expect fluctuations, sometimes big ones. Note also that this is what SMUD expect to release, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), it could be more, or less. However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the scheduled releases. chris Site Admin Posted: May 26, 2009 SMUD shared their predictions of expected average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows: Tue May 26 4255 AF Wed May 27 4140 AF Thu May 28 4080 AF Fri May 29 4020 AF Sat May 30 3960 AF Sun May 31 3900 AF Mon June 1 3900 AF Tue June 2 3840 AF Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 2000 cfs. Note these are only the average flows; expect fluctuations, sometimes big ones. Note also that this is what SMUD expect to release, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), it could be more, or less. However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the scheduled releases. chris Site Admin Posted: Jun 3, 2009 SMUD shared their predictions of expected average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows: Tue June 2 3005 AF Wed June 3 2980 AF Thu June 4 2925 AF Fri June 5 2850 AF Sat June 6 2735 AF Sun June 7 2615 AF Mon June 8 2615 AF Tue June 9 2615 AF Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 1350 cfs. Note these are only the average flows; expect fluctuations, sometimes big ones. Note also that this is what SMUD expect to release, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), it could be more, or less. However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the scheduled releases. chris Site Admin Posted: Jun 11, 2009 SMUD shared their predictions of expected average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows: Thu June 11 1665 AF Fri June 12 1646 AF Sat June 13 1632 AF Sun June 14 1618 AF Mon June 15 1604 AF Tue June 16 1590 AF Wed June 17 1576 AF Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 1300 cfs. Note these are only the average flows; expect fluctuations, sometimes big ones. Note also that this is what SMUD expect to release, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), it could be more, or less. However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the scheduled releases. chris Site Admin Posted: Jun 17, 2009 SMUD shared their predictions of expected average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows: Wed June 17 1597 AF Thu June 18 1564 AF Fri June 19 1521 AF Sat June 20 1463 AF Sun June 21 1463 AF Mon June 22 1463 AF Tue June 23 1463 AF Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 730 cfs. Note these are only the average flows; expect fluctuations, sometimes big ones. Note also that this is what SMUD expect to release, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), it could be more, or less. However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the scheduled releases. chris Site Admin Posted: Jul 2, 2009 SMUD shared their predictions of expected average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows: Wed July 1 716 AF Thu July 2 831 AF Fri July 3 831 AF Sat July 4 1207 AF Sun July 5 1207 AF Mon July 6 831 AF Tue July 7 831 AF Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 600 cfs. Note these are only the average flows; expect fluctuations, sometimes big ones. Note also that this is what SMUD expect to release, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), it could be more, or less. However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the scheduled releases. chris Site Admin Posted: Jul 14, 2009 SMUD shared their predictions of expected average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows: Tue July 14 831 AF Wed July 15 496 AF Thu July 16 831 AF Fri July 17 831 AF Sat July 18 1207 AF Sun July 19 1207 AF Mon July 20 831 AF Tue July 21 831 AF Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 600 cfs. Note these are only the average flows; expect fluctuations, sometimes big ones. Note also that this is what SMUD expect to release, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), it could be more, or less. However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the scheduled releases. chris Site Admin Posted: Jul 21, 2009 SMUD shared their predictions of expected average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows: Tue July 21 831 AF Wed July 22 496 AF Thu July 23 831 AF Fri July 24 831 AF Sat July 25 1207 AF Sun July 26 1207 AF Mon July 27 831 AF Tue July 28 831 AF Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 600 cfs. Note these are only the average flows; expect fluctuations, sometimes big ones. Note also that this is what SMUD expect to release, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), it could be more, or less. However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the scheduled releases. chris Site Admin Posted: Jul 28, 2009 SMUD shared their predictions of expected average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows: Tue July 28 831 AF Wed July 28 500 AF Thu July 30 831 AF Fri July 31 831 AF Sat Aug 1 1207 AF Sun Aug 2 1207 AF Mon Aug 3 831 AF Tue Aug 4 831 AF Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 600 cfs. Note these are only the average flows; expect fluctuations, sometimes big ones. Note also that this is what SMUD expect to release, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), it could be more, or less. However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the scheduled releases. chris Site Admin Posted: Aug 4, 2009 SMUD shared their predictions of expected average inflow to Chili Bar for this coming week as follows: Tue Aug 4 831 AF Wed Aug 5 496 AF Thu Aug 6 831 AF Fri Aug 7 831 AF Sat Aug 8 1207 AF Sun Aug 9 1207 AF Mon Aug 10 831 AF Tue Aug 11 831 AF Divide by 2 to get an idea of the daily average in CFS, e.g. the proposed Saturday average flow is about 600 cfs. Note these are only the average flows; expect fluctuations, sometimes big ones. Note also that this is what SMUD expect to release, based on their calculations ... depending on all sorts of factors (such as weather), it could be more, or less. However, barring emergencies, you can confidently count on at least the scheduled releases. Latest PostNext TopicPrev Topic

Forums -> Archive -> Chili Bar - Normal Water Year

Page 1 of 2 Goto 1  2  Next